Title

A seven-center examination of the relationship between monthly volume and mortality in trauma: a hypothesis-generating study

Authors

Stanislaw P. Stawicki, Level I Regional Trauma Center, St. Luke's University Health Network, Bethlehem, PA, USA. stanislaw.stawicki@sluhn.org.
Keith Habeeb, Level I Regional Trauma Center, St. Luke's University Health Network, Bethlehem, PA, USA.
Niels D. Martin, Division of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Penn Presbyterian Medical Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
M Shay O'Mara, Grant Level I Trauma, OhioHealth Grant Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
James Cipolla, Level I Regional Trauma Center, St. Luke's University Health Network, Bethlehem, PA, USA.
David C. Evans, Division of Trauma, Critical Care and Burn, Department of Surgery, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH, USA.
Creagh Boulger, Department of Emergency Medicine, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH, USA.
Babak Sarani, Department of Surgery, Center for Trauma and Critical Care, George Washington School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA.
Charles H. Cook, Division of Acute Care Surgery, Trauma and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Alok Gupta, Division of Acute Care Surgery, Trauma and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
William S. Hoff, Level I Regional Trauma Center, St. Luke's University Health Network, Bethlehem, PA, USA.
Peter G. Thomas, Level I Regional Trauma Center, St. Luke's University Health Network, Bethlehem, PA, USA.
Jeffrey M. Jordan, Division of Trauma/Critical Care, Department of Surgery, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Weidun Alan Guo, Division of Trauma/Critical Care, Department of Surgery, The State University of New York, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Mark J. Seamon, Division of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Penn Presbyterian Medical Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Document Type

Article

Publication Title

European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: The relationship between trauma volumes and patient outcomes continues to be controversial, with limited data available regarding the effect of month-to-month trauma volume variability on clinical results. This study examines the relationship between monthly trauma volume variations and patient mortality at seven Level I Trauma Centers located in the Eastern United States. We hypothesized that higher monthly trauma volumes may be associated with lower corresponding mortality. METHODS: Monthly patient volume data were collected from seven Level I Trauma Centers. Additional information retrieved included monthly mortality, demographics, mean monthly injury severity (ISS), and trauma mechanism (blunt versus penetrating). Mortality was utilized as the primary study outcome. Statistical corrections for mean age, gender distribution, ISS, and mechanism of injury were made using analysis of co-variance (ANCOVA). Center-specific, annually-adjusted median monthly volumes (CSAA-MMV) were calculated to standardize patient volume differences across participating institutions. Statistical significance was set at α < 0.05. RESULTS: A total of 604 months of trauma admissions, encompassing 122,197 patients, were analyzed. Controlling for patient age, gender, ISS, and mechanism of injury, aggregate data suggested that monthly trauma volumes < 100 were associated with significantly greater mortality (3.9%) than months with volumes > 400 (mortality 2.9%, p < 0.01). To account for differences in monthly volumes between centers, as well as for temporal bias associated with potential differences over the entire study duration period, data were normalized using CSAA-MMV as a standardized reference point. Monthly volumes ≤ 33% of the CSAA-MMV were associated with adjusted mortality of 5.0% whereas monthly volumes ≥ 134% CSAA-MMV were associated with adjusted mortality of 2.7% (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This hypothesis-generating study suggests that greater monthly trauma volumes appear to be associated with lower mortality. In addition, our data also suggest that across all participating centers mortality may be a function of relative month-to-month volume variation. When normalized to institution-specific, annually-adjusted "median" monthly trauma contacts, we show that months with patient volumes ≤ 33% median may be associated with subtly but not negligibly (1.4-2.3%) higher mortality than months with patient volumes ≥ 134% median.

First Page

281

Last Page

288

DOI

10.1007/s00068-018-0904-0

Publication Date

4-1-2019

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